How prepared are you for the impending crash?

So for the start of 2015, a theme that I will be exploring is how to prepare your business for the impending crash.

Whether its later this year or the middle of next, despitre what Governments do to try to postpone the impending crash, one will inevitably come.

It may be just a minor inconvenience for a few months as stock markets fall and cash becomes tight; or it may be a full blown recession worse even than 2008-9.… Read more

Oil Price jitters- is it up or is it down

Oil prices continued their rally this week, after an 8% surge on Friday 30 January.

As some traders try to identify the bottom in oil prices, Morgan Stanley warns that “small crude oil rallies can occur, but are likely limited and unsustainable.”

Data from Baker Hughes last week showed that US oil rigs posted a weekly decline that was the most since the drilling company started collecting the data.… Read more

Indonesian Election update

The Guardian reports; Voting in Indonesia’s presidential election has finished with both sides claiming  an early victory and a messy couple of weeks in the offing.

Indo vote 10 July

• Quick counts – sample polls counted to give an indication of the overall result – suggested that former Jakarta governor Joko “Jokowi” Widodo, the favourite going into the election, had triumphedJokowi told supporters that he had scored a victory.… Read more

Why the Indonesian Elections should matter to you?

Indonesia is in the middle of counting votes for their Presidential election.

indonesian vote counting

They were given a choice between one-time frontrunner Joko Widodo (jokowi), the Jakarta governor with a corruption-free reputation who is seen as the more market-friendly candidate, and main rival Prabowo Subianto, an ex-general facing a U.S. visa ban for allegations of past human rights violations. Prabowo once trailed by as much as 30 points in the pre-election polls, but as the election day approached, he managed to close the gap with an aggressive, nationalistic campaign. Read more

Will Chinese slump swamp our bit of Asia?

I’ve talked before about the challenge facing the Chinese economy.

Here’s two charts from   that detail the slow down and the impact its having out of the main coastal areas.

Source: Chen Long, “Testing the Reformers Resolve.” GaveKal Research, May 27, 2014

More and more of the world is inextricably linked into China’s success as shown by Export trade as a proportion of world GDP.

Can Central Planners Revive China’s Economic Miracle? By Worth Wray
Can Central Planners Revive China’s Economic Miracle?
By Worth Wray

and the overall source of China’s imports

Source of Chinese Imports- Maudlin Economics

 

Which shows that more than half of Chinese exports originate in Asia.… Read more