Not a “V” shaped recovery

Two enduring metaphors of Covid were “flatten the curve” – reduce the incidence of Covid-19 infections to enable an overstretches health care system to cope.

The second was the image of a “V” shaped recovery… much hyped by Politicians facing I’m and the re-election… this thing will go away as fast as it came… we’ll bounce back.

Many pundits bet their reputations on this imagery.… Read more

MoviePass is no more

Once a darling of the disruption crowd, MoviePass is no more; the stock is valued at zero… CEO and CFO have departed, the Board has resigned en mass …. the courts are holding the junk that’s left.

Investors are eager to plow vast sums of money into companies that offer “disruptive” products and services. Often the basis of this disruption is investor-subsidized predatory pricing or cash-burn machines.… Read more

The future mistrust of startups

We live in a very trusting investment world.

The business model appears to be;

  • Set up a company, with a tech-like focus
  • do amazing PR at a time when more money than sense is looking for a home (thank you loose monetary policy),
  • expand in such a way that no one is much bothered by the impossibility of profitability,
  • focus on generating market share to create a “network effect”
  • make the game last at least until you are rich.
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Is Apple a tech company?

for the last few weeks I’ve been thinking about the strategy of cutting edge companies.

We all know a “tech” moniker can boost valuation- just compare WeWork to IWG.

But what is Apple doing- it has been clearly a hardware company with a service and software add-on. But things are changing.

iPhone as a Service

It does feel like there is one more shoe yet to drop when it comes to Apple’s strategic shift.… Read more

Enchanted Garden of Unicorns

I love the Hubert  Horan series on Uber/Lyft and with other Unicorns -inhabiting their own enchanted gardens- venturing out into the real world can be a danger to their health. Here is his latest take down of Uber/Lyft source 

Given Lyft’s terrible performance- down 45% on their IPO price-  Uber abandoned its original $120 billion valuation objective. As it began its roadshow, it announced a $90 billion target ($55 per share) designed to raise over $10 billion in new investment.… Read more